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 presidential adviser. “The way to pacify the aggressor lies through a reasonable demonstration of force.”

In this case, Russia’s actions also threatened to anger leaders in Africa and the Middle East with whom Putin has sought to curry diplomatic favour. In an announcement of the deal renewing on Wednesday, Erdoğan said the next shipments of Ukrainian agricultural goods were destined for Somalia, Djibouti and Sudan.

And then there is Erdoğan, a regional rival of Putin’s who has emerged as a major power player in negotiations over the war. Erdoğan also played a leading role in the prisoner exchange in which Russia released key Ukrainian commanders from the Azovstal steelworks in Mariupol. Moscow had previously said it was planning to try to possibly execute them at a military tribunal.

As Russia has grown more isolated, diplomatically and economically, Turkey’s influence has clearly increased.

“Mentioned that Ankara could have a final say here but didn’t expect them to have so much influence on Putin,” wrote Andrei Sizov, the head of SovEcon, an agricultural markets research firm. “Really wonder what Erdoğan’s secret is.”

At home, the grain agreement has provoked anger among boosters of the war, who have dismissed the “written guarantees” and, in some cases, accused the government of selling out its soldiers.

“They don’t give a fuck about this war! What matters is money,” wrote the administrators of one popular Telegram account that crowdsources funds and equipment for the Russian military. “That’s how the politicians are thinking. And as to our soldiers who nearly died in the bay in Sevastopol, they don’t give a fuck.”

Pro-Kremlin bloggers and reporters were similarly derisive of the deal. “The card sharp has given written guarantees not to use marked cards,” wrote Alexander Kots, a reporter for the pro-Kremlin Komsomolskaya Pravda.

Colonel Cassad, an account with more than 800,000 subscribers, said: “Regarding the trust to these ‘Ukrainian guarantees’ … as though it wasn’t enough for there to be eight years of desecrations of the Minsk agreements or the Steinmeier formula.”